<div class="ubbcode-block"><div class="ubbcode-header">Originally Posted By: Ironlung</div><div class="ubbcode-body">There was one team that had about a 6-4 record the first week of the playoffs and knocked off a higher seed. I can't remember who that was though. But, what's that got to do with consistency? They're a second year school and I'd wager that they're not playing powerhouses. Appalachia and Jonesville both won state titles with 5-5 records. Good thing you weren't doing the picking then. </div></div>

You have to look at the scores for those teams though and look at how closely they played powerhouses and whether or not they were blown out or just got the 'bad end of the stick.'

Most of the time, those teams that have sorry records but that go on to win big have only minor regular season losses and haven't been getting whipped on and just miraculously came out winners. They were there for a reason - they were good, but the record didn't show it.

The reason I'm making comparisons here isn't because I know the scores (and I don't), but I just first look at the record then take the teams to the CalPreps site and match them up to see if their records are reasonable and if the teams aren't actually deceiving just because their record may not match up with the other team's.

I know that CalPreps doesn't always work - and often HASN'T (for me at least!), but I think it's reliable enough to make reasonable estimates about what has yet to occur.